Stylized facts of metaverse non-fungible tokens
Version
Published
Date Issued
2024-11-01
Author(s)
Chan, Stephen
Chandrashekhar, Durga
Almazloum, Ward
Zhang, Yuanyuan
Lord, Nicholas
Bern University of Applied Sciences
Chu, Jeffrey
Renmin University of China
Type
Article
Language
English
Abstract
Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) within the metaverse represent a rapidly emerging sector in the digital asset space. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the metaverse’s history and an analysis of the stylized facts of five metaverse NFTs: Axie Infinity, Decentraland, Enjin Coin, Theta Network, and The Sandbox. We examine market efficiency, volatility clustering, leverage effects, and the return-volume relationship. Our key findings show that all NFT returns exhibit kurtosis values significantly exceeding the standard value of three, indicating more peaked and heavier-tailed distributions than a normal distribution. Autocorrelation analysis reveals statistically insignificant results, suggesting minimal influence of past returns on current returns. The Hurst exponent fluctuates between 0.3 and 0.8, indicating relative inefficiency in log returns with varying degrees of trend reinforcement and anti-persistence. The GARCH(1,1) model confirms the presence of volatility clustering, with high persistence of volatility shocks over time, and most NFT returns exhibit a negative leverage effect, where negative returns decrease volatility. These findings provide critical insights for investors, content creators, and policymakers, emphasizing the need for innovative strategies and regulatory considerations in this evolving ecosystem. A comparative analysis using alternative metaverse-related assets from Bloomberg and Yield Guild Games enhances the robustness of our findings, enriching the academic discourse on digital assets and laying the groundwork for future research in metaverse NFTs.
Publisher DOI
Journal or Serie
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
ISSN
0378-4371
Organization
Volume
653
Citation
Stephen Chan, Durga Chandrashekhar, Ward Almazloum, Yuanyuan Zhang, Nicholas Lord, Joerg Osterrieder, Jeffrey Chu, Stylized facts of metaverse non-fungible tokens, Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Volume 653, 2024, 130103, ISSN 0378-4371, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2024.130103. (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437124006125) Abstract: Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) within the metaverse represent a rapidly emerging sector in the digital asset space. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the metaverse’s history and an analysis of the stylized facts of five metaverse NFTs: Axie Infinity, Decentraland, Enjin Coin, Theta Network, and The Sandbox. We examine market efficiency, volatility clustering, leverage effects, and the return-volume relationship. Our key findings show that all NFT returns exhibit kurtosis values significantly exceeding the standard value of three, indicating more peaked and heavier-tailed distributions than a normal distribution. Autocorrelation analysis reveals statistically insignificant results, suggesting minimal influence of past returns on current returns. The Hurst exponent fluctuates between 0.3 and 0.8, indicating relative inefficiency in log returns with varying degrees of trend reinforcement and anti-persistence. The GARCH(1,1) model confirms the presence of volatility clustering, with high persistence of volatility shocks over time, and most NFT returns exhibit a negative leverage effect, where negative returns decrease volatility. These findings provide critical insights for investors, content creators, and policymakers, emphasizing the need for innovative strategies and regulatory considerations in this evolving ecosystem. A comparative analysis using alternative metaverse-related assets from Bloomberg and Yield Guild Games enhances the robustness of our findings, enriching the academic discourse on digital assets and laying the groundwork for future research in metaverse NFTs. Keywords: Metaverse; Non-fungible tokens; Stylized facts; Market efficiency; Volatility
Publisher
Elsevier B.V.
Submitter
Liu, Yiting
Citation apa
Chan, S., Chandrashekhar, D., Almazloum, W., Zhang, Y., Lord, N., Osterrieder, J. R., & Chu, J. (2024). Stylized facts of metaverse non-fungible tokens. In Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications (Vol. 653). Elsevier B.V. https://doi.org/10.24451/dspace/11287
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