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Simulating financial time series using attention

URI
https://arbor.bfh.ch/handle/arbor/34213
Version
Published
Date Issued
2022
Author(s)
Fu, Weilong
Hirsa, Ali
Osterrieder, Jörg Robert  
Type
Working Paper
Language
English
Subjects

deep learning

generative adversaria...

attention

time series

stylized facts

Abstract
Financial time series simulation is a central topic since it extends the limited real data for training and evaluation of trading strategies. It is also challenging because of the complex statistical properties of the real financial data. We introduce two generative adversarial networks (GANs), which utilize the convolutional networks with attention and the transformers, for financial time series simulation. The GANs learn the statistical properties in a data-driven manner and the attention mechanism helps to replicate the long-range dependencies. The proposed GANs are tested on the S&P 500 index and option data, examined by scores based on the stylized facts and are compared with the pure convolutional GAN, i.e. QuantGAN. The attention-based GANs not only reproduce the stylized facts, but also smooth the autocorrelation of returns.
Subjects
HG Finance
DOI
10.24451/arbor.17396
https://doi.org/10.24451/arbor.17396
Publisher DOI
10.48550/arXiv.2207.00493
Journal
arXiv:2207.00493
Publisher URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2207.00493
Organization
Finance, Accounting and Tax  
Wirtschaft  
Publisher
Cornell University
Submitter
OsterriederJ
Citation apa
Fu, W., Hirsa, A., & Osterrieder, J. R. (2022). Simulating financial time series using attention. In arXiv:2207.00493. Cornell University. https://doi.org/10.24451/arbor.17396
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